This report identifies key factors weighing on Syrian refugees contemplating a return home and analyzes how changing conditions in Syria might affect their decisions. It analyzes the voluntary return of 103,090 Syrian refugees to determine the key factors that influenced their decisions.

This group of refugees, who returned between 2015 and 2018, were compared with millions of others in Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon who chose not to return by using various statistical techniques including machine-learning. The results were compared with other refugee situations around the globe, ranging from Iraqi refugees in pre-war Syria, to the Balkans, and Somali refugees in Kenya. Read more